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HillModerator
Master Guide


Reged: 10/31/04
Posts: 8878
Loc: Los Angeles
Re: Wilkins Ice Shelf is disintegrating [Re: ysb45]
      #1206489 - 07/18/08 09:31 AM

You may want to catch up or your reading and research. Start here at http://www.climatescience.gov/

From that site you can read the following:

Quote:

Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States

Once considered a problem mainly for the future, climate change is now upon us. People are at the heart of this problem: we are causing it, and we are being affected by it. The rapid onset of many aspects of climate change highlights the urgency of confronting this challenge without further delay. The choices that we make now will influence current and future emissions of heat-trapping gases, and can help to reduce future warming. Likewise, our decisions on whether and how to adapt to the degree of warming that is already inevitable can help us reduce the impacts of future warming.

1. Human-induced climate change and its impacts are apparent now throughout the United States. Global warming is unequivocal and is due primarily to human-induced emissions of heat-trapping gases and other pollutants. [This actually is technically an error, if their baseline is the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports from last year. They assert that humans are the dominant warming influence since 1950 with greater than 90 percent confidence, which is different than the certainty here. (UPDATE 7/18: Susan Hassol helpfully pointed out that the IPCC’s “very likely” confidence level is “greater than 90 percent.”)] Observed changes in the United States include temperature increases, sea-level rise, increased heavy downpours, rapidly retreating glaciers, regional droughts, substantial changes in sensitive wildlife, earlier snowmelt, and altered timing and amount of river flows. Impacts of these changes are apparent in many facets of society including health, water, food, energy, and quality of life.

2. Many climatic changes are occurring faster than projected even a few years ago. Global emissions of heat-trapping gases are now increasing even more rapidly than the highest emissions scenario scientists have been analyzing. Arctic sea ice and the large ice sheets on Greenland and parts of Antarctica are melting faster than expected.




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"Eternity is a very long time, especially towards the end" Stephen Hawking (quoting Woody Allen)
"There are all kinds of interesting questions that come from a knowledge of science, which only adds to the excitement and mystery and awe of a flower." Richard Feynman
Iraq war and occupation costs


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Groovy23
Environmentalist


Reged: 09/08/06
Posts: 1086
Loc: Central London, UK.
Re: Wilkins Ice Shelf is disintegrating [Re: Hill]
      #1206540 - 07/18/08 11:07 AM

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Global warming brings new iceberg threat to Antarctic ecosystem



Click here to watch video

A new global warming threat to the fragile marine ecosystems of Antarctica has been identified, with the discovery that an increasing number of icebergs are tearing up the sea floor and destroying any life in their way.

The shallow habitats of species such as giant sea spiders (video), Antarctic worms, sea urchins and corals are facing a growing risk from icebergs, according to research that shows more bergs are floating freely in coastal waters as temperatures rise.

While these near-shore ecosystems have always been pounded by icebergs, crushing the animals and plants that live there, the rate of destruction is increasing as a warmer climate shrinks the winter sea ice that would otherwise lock the bergs in, scientists said. The retreat of coastal glaciers and the collapse of floating ice shelves also mean that more bergs are being shed into the sea, adding to the likelihood of scouring.

The findings, from a team from the British Antarctic Survey (BAS), indicate that the ecological risks of climate change go farther than those posed by rising ocean temperatures.

Iceberg scour is a natural phenomenon, and while it is destructive on a local level it often adds to broader biodiversity by clearing spaces for new life to populate. Scientists, however, are concerned that a substantial increase in the rate of scouring could have unpredictable consequences, creating swaths of shallow water in which organisms with longer life-cycles cannot become established. “The whole balance of the ecosystem could be affected, with consequences that are very difficult to predict,” said Dan Smale, who led the study.

“The focus of research has all been on rising temperatures, but what has been overlooked is that it isn’t just warming of the water that changes the structure of the ecosystem. The distribution of species is likely to be just as important, and that is going to be affected by iceberg scour.”

The research, published in the journal Science, has been dedicated to Kirsty Brown, who died in 2003 while conducting fieldwork at the BAS’s Rothera Research Station on the Antarctic Peninsula. Ms Brown, 28, who drowned when she was attacked by a leopard seal while snorkling, is named posthumously as one of the authors.

The study was conducted over five years at South Cove, on the Antarctic Peninsula, where temperatures are warming more quickly than anywhere else on the planet, by half a degree celsius each decade. This has led to the collapse of part of the Wilkins Ice Shelf in March, and to the loss of seven other floating shelves over the past 30 years.

The BAS team analysed the effects of these trends on iceberg scour by placing grids of small concrete markers on the seabed, at depths of 5, 10 and 15 metres. These were checked by divers for disturbances caused by iceberg strikes.

Dr Smale said that because sea ice was predicted to shrink further under the impact of global warming, iceberg strike rate was expected to increase.

Source: Times Online

Edited by Groovy23 (07/18/08 02:15 PM)


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mspelto
Tourist


Reged: 12/11/06
Posts: 203
Loc: Massachusetts
Re: Wilkins Ice Shelf is disintegrating [Re: Groovy23]
      #1224505 - 08/26/08 03:12 PM

Regarding the continued breakup this austral winter. It is surprising to an extent. But the breakup last year was driven not at all by meltwater but by thinning which reduced the stabilizing pressure of pinning points. The evident weakness and existence of substantial surface cracks already in this area led Humbert and Braun to predict continued breakup soon. They were not thinking of the winter, but given that meltwater was not playing a role here, it is not as surprising. It must also be emphasized that there is a common thread here for the breakup of the Wilkins, Petermann Glacier in Greenland and acceleration of other marine terminating outlet glaciers in Greenland. That is preconditioning for collapse via thinning whether due to surface melt, basal melt by seawater or simply reduced flow into the floating section, the thinning leads to less effective pressure restraining glacier movement, this allows it to accelerate, further thin and then collapse. Same story over and over, basal meltwater is not part of this story.

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carelyou007
First Post


Reged: 08/28/08
Posts: 1
Global Awareness about saving the environment. [Re: Hill]
      #1225618 - 08/28/08 10:28 PM

The most concise and realistic info about the various awareness programs or self awareness about saving the environment can be availed at our website www.mygazines.com. In todays world one has to be responsible and understand that if we dont take steps to help or save the environment by daily eco friendly moves then it may be too late . Get info on all this and more at our most informative and interesting website
www.mygazines.com


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